Girly tomboy with a passion for fighting, writing, hockey and life’s delicacies, like chicken wings and beer.
UFC 104 is finally almost here. I haven’t been this excited for a fight card since UFC 100 where GSP defended his welterweight title and Lesnar flipped his fans the finger was a douche defended his heavyweight title as well.
UFC 104 airs this Saturday, October 24, 2009 at 10pm EST on PPV.
A few predictions:
Light heavyweight championship bout
Mauricio “Shogun” Rua vs Lyoto “The Dragon” Machida
Mauricio Rua vs Lyoto Machida
The clash between shotokan karate and muay thai will be interesting, as Rua will look to annihilate Machida with raw power, while the ever-elusive Machida will execute his strategy to perfection against such an aggressive fighter. Rua will probably want to smash Machida, and despite the fact that people have credited Machida’s fighting style as unorthodox, The Dragon lands 65% of his shots, second only to fellow Brazilian fighter Anderson Silva. I think Rua will withstand Machida’s powerful shots, but Machida’s intelligence and conditioning will allow him to win this fight.
Prediction: Machida by unanimous decision
Fun fact: Rua used to model in Brazil.
Heavyweight bout
Cain Velasquez vs Ben Rothwell
Cain Velasquez vs Ben Rothwell
I wonder how pissed Cain is since being denied a shot as the #1 contender to face Brock Lesnar, so I believe we will see him demolish Rothwell – who has yet to set foot in the octagon – and prove to Dana White he is a worthy opponent to take on Lesnar. I don’t give Rothwell a fighting chance against this well-rounded wrestler.
Prediction: Velasquez by KO in the second round.
Fun fact: Velasquez has a degree in education.
Lightweight bout
Joe “Daddy” Stevenson vs Spencer Fisher
Joe Stevenson vs Spencer Fisher
Stevenson’s favorite moves are the guillotine and rear-naked choke, 46% of his wins are by submission and he has begun training in Greg Jackson’s camp (Greg Jackson currently trains a fighter you may already know). I like his chances against Fisher, whose propensity to brawl will inevitably lead him to wear himself out and make a small but deadly mistake, costing him the fight.
Prediction: Stevenson by submission in the third round.
Fun fact: Stevenson had his first pro fight at age 16.
***
Fun fact about this blogger: I love friendly gambling of all sorts, so if anyone cares to make a propbet, sidebet, over/under bet, whatever — decide what you’re willing to lose and write your suggestion/offer in the comments section.
I will review the fights at the beginning of next week and attempt to explain to you why my predictions were so far off.
Are you ready? ARE YOU READY? LET’S GET IT ON! (I miss Big John McCarthy)
4 Responses to “UFC 104 – The Dragon is The Champion”
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Mathieu
October 22nd, 2009 at 12:39 am
Very solid preview/predictions!
I usually wait right before the actual fight (when I get to see the fighters in their pre-fight state of body and mind) before making any predictions, but whatever, here are my pre-predictions. They are subject to change if I feel an expected winner jumps on the ring with wimpy moves or insecurity in his eyes.
Rua vs Machida: Machida all the way. Hmmm, submission in the 4th or by decision. As little as I know about him, I can’t get myself to picture him losing.
Velasquez vs. Rothwell: As a frustrated heavyweight, Velasquez might refocus and do everything to prove his might. Or he might do the latter, without focus. And that subtle different will change everything. Rothwell, on the other hand, has everything to prove as he gets his first octagon shot, and should be at least as willing to do everything to put himself on the map. I’m bidding for that theory. Thus, my prediction: Rothwell, KO 3rd round.
Stevenson vs. Fisher: I _think_ I remember seeing Fisher have a fight, and if I remember well, I wasn’t much impressed. Therefore, I’ll go with Stevenson by submission… let’s say 2nd round.
Chust!
frenchelon
October 24th, 2009 at 5:02 pm
“Fun fact: Velasquez has a degree in education.”
A degree in educating your face to be broken, maybe.
That comment totally makes sense in my head.
metricjulie » UFC 104 – The One With The Immediate Rematch
October 27th, 2009 at 9:41 pm
[...] First, let’s see where I was right. A little wrong too, but mostly right. I posted my UFC 104 predictions here. [...]
Dwain Beckley
November 2nd, 2009 at 12:28 pm
Hi, good post. I have been pondering this issue,so thanks for sharing. I will certainly be subscribing to your blog.